Friday, November 20, 2009

Interesting CID/Gallup poll in showing the popularity numbers for 20 Presidents in the Americas http://bit.ly/5bMgpG in November 2009. I did a quick analysis and divided the 20 Presidents in three groups. There might some controversy on which president is in which category, but I think I'm at least pretty close.

One category is Center right Presidents. I have the Presidents of Mexico, Colombia, Panama, Honduras and Canada in that category. Then I have the Center left category where I have El Salvador, Chile, Brazil, Uruguay, Paraguay, USA, Dominican Republic, Peru, Guatemala, Costa Rica. Last the Bolivariano or Left category where I have Venezuela, Ecuador, Bolivia, Nicaragua and Argentina. There might be some controversy on Argentina, but they have demonstrated to be one of Chavez strongest allies.

Interesting conclusion: Center right parties have an average popularity approval rating of 53.4%. Center Left 59.3% and the Bolivarianos 39.4%.

It seems that the center left is not only emerging as the ideology of choice in the Americas, with ten countries, but also the most popular. It also seems that the Center left countries (with the Exception of USA) are also having the most economic growth in the Americas. It is also apparent that the Chavez block is not very popular.

Caveats: Funes in El Salvador and Martinelli in Panama were just recently elected and haven't had much to be judged on. Yes Michelleti is not the legitimate President of Honduras, but he is running the country. Note: The last poll I saw for Zelaya, by the same polling company had Zelaya at 46%. He woul've been in the Bolivariano category.

In these times where Democracy in Latin America is historically at it's strongest, with the rare Honduras exception, has Latin America finally found it's ideological way?

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